Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.027297 0.029385 0.031483 0.033745 0.036113 0.038515 0.041132
2025-12-07 0.022869 0.026111 0.029490 0.033262 0.037340 0.041605 0.046388
2025-12-14 0.019901 0.023785 0.027949 0.032715 0.037993 0.043629 0.050077
2025-12-21 0.017425 0.021696 0.026391 0.031885 0.038088 0.044831 0.052668
2025-12-28 0.016296 0.020986 0.026246 0.032509 0.039692 0.047604 0.056911
2026-01-04 0.015055 0.020033 0.025725 0.032616 0.040632 0.049572 0.060203
2026-01-11 0.013858 0.019039 0.025076 0.032500 0.041253 0.051125 0.062982
2026-01-18 0.013167 0.018601 0.025037 0.033056 0.042618 0.053505 0.066687
2026-01-25 0.012269 0.017848 0.024568 0.033056 0.043294 0.055059 0.069421
2026-02-01 0.011456 0.017151 0.024124 0.033047 0.043925 0.056538 0.072049
2026-02-08 0.010717 0.016504 0.023705 0.033034 0.044525 0.057959 0.074596
2026-02-15 0.010010 0.015859 0.023253 0.032951 0.045015 0.059231 0.076954
2026-02-22 0.009308 0.015215 0.022812 0.032908 0.045598 0.060679 0.079611
2026-03-01 0.008460 0.014331 0.022033 0.032419 0.045627 0.061466 0.081501
2026-03-08 0.007666 0.013474 0.021246 0.031882 0.045562 0.062115 0.083204
2026-03-15 0.006839 0.012516 0.020277 0.031065 0.045109 0.062258 0.084272
2026-03-22 0.006584 0.012375 0.020405 0.031679 0.046467 0.064631 0.088058
2026-03-29 0.006176 0.011980 0.020162 0.031784 0.047162 0.066176 0.090829
2026-04-05 0.005728 0.011495 0.019771 0.031670 0.047559 0.067339 0.093127
2026-04-12 0.005516 0.011365 0.019872 0.032217 0.048812 0.069578 0.096760
2026-04-19 0.005155 0.010976 0.019584 0.032217 0.049340 0.070897 0.099250
2026-04-26 0.004817 0.010601 0.019300 0.032208 0.049844 0.072180 0.101695
2026-05-03 0.004500 0.010242 0.019023 0.032195 0.050335 0.073440 0.104108